July 18th, 2025
Blog
Indian equity markets witnessed another sharp drop today, driven by weak Q1 earnings, global headwinds, and persistent foreign institutional selling. Both the Sensex and Nifty closed lower for the third consecutive week.
The Sensex fell by 501 points to close at 81,757, while the Nifty 50 ended the day down 143 points at 24,968, slipping below the psychological 25,000 mark again.
What’s Behind Market Volatility?
Several factors contributed to today’s market weakness:
- Heavy FII Selling: Foreign investors have turned net sellers, pulling out more than ₹10,000 crore from Indian markets this week alone.
- Disappointing Earnings: Q1 results from Axis Bank and a few other financials fell short of expectations, dragging down the banking sector.
- Global Downgrades: Citi downgraded Indian equities from “Overweight” to “Neutral,” citing high valuations and limited near-term upside.
- SEBI’s Options Market Tightening: Recent SEBI actions have reduced liquidity in the derivatives market, causing sharp intraday swings.
- Global Economic Uncertainty: Ongoing speculation around the US Fed’s rate decisions and geopolitical tensions are keeping investors on edge.
- Currency Pressure: The rupee's volatility is increasingly tied to equity market movements, amplifying overall nervousness.
Outperformers – Stocks That Defied the Trend
- Despite the overall negativity, a few stocks managed to buck the trend:
- Wipro surged over 4% following robust quarterly results and a strong outlook for digital transformation deals.
- ICICI Bank managed to close in the green, indicating investor faith in strong private sector banks.
- Infosys, Nestle India, and Tata Steel showed resilience and gained marginally.
- Select FMCG and pharma stocks saw mild buying as investors shifted to defensive sectors.
Gold & Silver – Precious Metals in Focus
- Gold continued to stay firm, with domestic prices around ₹97,500 per 10 grams. Global gold prices gained slightly as the US dollar weakened, making gold more attractive for international investors. However, in India, high price levels have kept physical demand muted.
- Silver remained the outperformer, trading above ₹1.12 lakh per kg. The rally is being fueled by growing industrial demand from sectors like solar, electronics, and electric vehicles. Investment in silver ETFs is also rising, as investors look to diversify amidst equity market volatility.
Mutual Fund Highlights
- Passive Investing Surge: Index funds and ETFs now account for over ₹12 lakh crore in assets under management, reflecting growing retail and institutional interest in low-cost investing.
- Gold and Silver Funds Attract Flows: Inflows into precious metal mutual funds have risen significantly, with some funds reporting a 10x jump in investments over the last two months.
- Balanced Advantage and Hybrid Funds Stable: These funds continue to provide relatively stable returns and have been popular among cautious investors.
- Arbitrage Funds remain a preferred choice for those seeking short-term, low-risk returns, especially given current market swings.
Investor Takeaway
- The current volatility should not trigger panic among long-term investors. Instead, it offers an opportunity to:
- Continue SIPs in large-cap and diversified mutual funds
- Allocate a portion (10–15%) to gold and silver ETFs for diversification
- Consider balanced advantage funds for stability and better downside protection
- Avoid heavy lump-sum equity investments in this phase unless it's staggered over time
What to Watch Next Week
- Upcoming earnings from key sectors like FMCG, auto, and private banks
- Developments from the US Federal Reserve on rate policy
- Global commodity price trends, especially crude oil
- Any further SEBI actions or regulatory changes affecting mutual funds and capital markets